Platform Wars

One of the basic concepts of capitalism is the idea that competition is good for consumers. I think in most cases this is true. One famous example is the history of General Motors, a company that became so powerful and dominant that the US government considered breaking GM into separate companies.

GM was never broken up, and in the end their dominance waned. Now GM ranks 4th globally in terms of number of vehicles sold, so they hardly went away, but they don’t control anywhere close to the majority of the market.

How did this happen? There are differing theories: failure to innovate, poor execution, bad strategy. Another, more likely explanation is that Asian manufacturers (Toyota, Hyundai, Honda, Nissan) started producing higher quality, less expensive automobiles than GM, and GM failed to adapt. These competitors chipped away at GM’s dominance.

In any case, the end result was a win for consumers: more options, higher quality, and lower costs.

Platforms #

Today our digital lives are largely dominated by 2 companies, Apple and Google. They are the only relevant mobile platform vendors, and they both operate walled gardens for their devices. As consumers we have little choice outside of this duopoly.

In order to publish on Apple or Google’s platform (via their respective app stores), you must first get permission to operate from those companies.

In other words, if I buy an iPhone, it is Apple who decides what software I can run on my phone. As a publisher, I can’t publish software unless it earns the Apple or Google seal of approval.

In a sense, we don’t really own the hardware we’re buying.

To use an analogy, imagine if you bought a Prius and you were only allowed to drive to Toyota approved destinations on Toyota approved roads.

At War #

Apple recently announced it would warn users about apps were tracking users, and provided them a prompt to ask the app not to track them. Some might interpret this as a shot across the bow at ad companies like Google and Facebook who’s main business proposition is the idea that they have high quality targeting data based on behavioural tracking and surveillance.

Sounds like a win for users, right? Not so fast.

Amusingly, Apple simultaneously offered their own tool for tracking that would not trigger the warning, as per a Reuters article. One could interpret this as a prelude to Apple’s intention to enter the advertising market alongside Google and Facebook. So while it appears on the outside to be a good thing, it’s actually just another attempt by Apple to gain market share.

The end of the web #

Another trend happening simultaneously is the move from open web platforms to app-based walled gardens. You can see this manifested directly in the attempts of major platforms to disable sharing of files and URLs.

For example, if I share a link on Twitter, it will replace that link with Twitter’s own tracking URL that requires redirection through Twitter’s platform. The same is true for videos (and all files for that matter): you can’t simply attach a file to a tweet and share it. There are ways to download videos from Twitter, but Twitter makes it as hard as possible for you to do that.

Who’s winning? #

Without question the biggest winners are the platforms. They’re optimized for stickiness, and the effect has been unquestionably powerful. It’s like going to the grocery store and being allowed to buy as much ice cream as you want, but there are only two flavours available: chocolate or vanilla. All other flavours are bad.

Unlike the automobile industry, the software world exhibits strong network effects, especially since nearly every platform is some kind of social network.

Users lose out (or as I like to say, users get used), small publishers lose out, and the amount of diversity of thought and ideas becomes narrow and

In the digital age, does ownership exist? #

As I mentioned before, when you buy an iPhone you don’t really own the hardware, since you don’t get to decide what software you run.

Another example of this effect are DRM-encumbered digital books: you can’t lend them out, and you can sell them to anyone.

There’s a case in front of the courts right now which the EFF has promised to help with in attempt to protect our right to lend books, digital or otherwise. It’ll be interesting to watch and see where things go.